Tag: modelling

Are some political tactics more adaptable to intensified social change than others?

The first of what seems likely to be many books about the June 2017 general election was released earlier this week. Betting the House, by Tim Ross and Tom McTague, tells the story of the election through contrasting accounts of the Conservative and Labour campaigns. There’s much more detail about the former, seemingly reflecting both the […]

November 9, 2017
Social morphogenesis and the limitations of political modelling

Reading Shattered, an account of Hilary Clinton’s failed election campaign by Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes, I’ve been struck by how limited political modelling has proved in recent elections. This had been in the case in the 2008 primary contest with Obama, in which the unprecedented character of his candidacy (as well as the candidate […]

June 3, 2017
Tony Lawson: 90%+ of economics taught in Western world is based on mathematical modelling that is useless

January 11, 2015